Crypto Insurance - Feasible or Not?

Everyone seems excited about crypto / web3 insurance just as everyone is excited about any area that has white space. Thoughts and thesis below.

  • spectrum of insurance - from Defi on the left to centralized on the right

    • decentralized

      • example companies: Nexus Mutual, Unflashed, Nayms

      • Usually protocol level work, insurance by collective investment

        • often seen via smart contracts

      • Pros: good at getting to high limits quickly and at a good price, easier to underwrite, often instant payouts

      • Cons: very niche, hard to do D&O, cyber, etc.

    • centralized

      • example companies: Realm, Sompo, Superscript, Axis, Relm, Coincover

      • bigger ones will write crypto insurance risk in a more traditional way

      • Pros: More extensive diligence and process, increasing internal buy-in and interest

      • Cons: hard to get to high limits due to diligence and data requirements

    • service providers

      • usually doesn't provide cover

      • more for getting insurance industry comfortable

    • May have heard of Breach - more in the middle as they insure crypto on exchanges

  • biggest obstacles for crypto insurance / is there appetite?

    • need internal buy-in --> increasing but not there yet

    • huge education aspect in the space

      • ESG fanatics who think bitcoin is ruining our planet

      • bitcoin is a ponzi scheme

    • very little loss history --> hard to underwrite

    • those likely to purchase crypto insurance (businesses) are later stage e.g. chainalysis

      • years ago, crypto insurance was very expensive and less understood

  • what to keep in mind when investing in this space

    • few competitive advantages - very few players in general

    • any capacity provider will probably stand out because they're willing to take on crypto risk and figure it out

    • little innovation thus far. market is still small.

    • seeing more insurance people move into the space versus tech-first

    • need API integration / technological user friendly

  • longer term view of where the space is going

    • consolidation with other insurtechs and insurance companies like cyber

    • consolidation with other tech companies in blockchain analytics, KYC, AML, etc (chainalysis, Merkle, elliptic)

    • likely there will be price war and margin compression as more enter the space and undercut each other

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