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Solana $SOL Analysis: Can Solana go to $3000?

Flying close to the sun: The rise of Solana

This analysis is for informational purposes only, and should not be used for investment decisions.

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The Rise of Solana

Solana has emerged as a prominent blockchain platform, garnering attention for its high throughput and low transaction costs. Developed by Anatoly Yakovenko, a former engineer at Qualcomm, Solana aims to address scalability issues faced by existing blockchains.

Vision and Early Days

Solana's vision centers around providing a scalable and decentralized platform for developers to build and deploy applications. The project began with a focus on improving throughput, aiming to process thousands of transactions per second (TPS) at a low cost.

Market Performance and Tokenomics

Solana conducted its Initial Coin Offering (ICO) in 2020, raising $25 million by selling SOL tokens at a price of $0.22. Solana is trading at the $60’s range with a market capitalization exceeding $24 billion, showcasing impressive growth from its initial valuation.

Key Metrics:

  • The tokenomics of SOL involves both transaction fees (gas) and staking rewards at 5%, with the network having a relatively low inflation rate at 5% as well

  • Mcap of 24b, vs ETH’s 234, so a 10x less

  • 24h DeFi volume is at 500M+, vs. ETH’s 1.6b, so a 3x less

  • The great difference in the Mcap vs. DeFi volume make Solana an attractive comp

  • Solana boasts a high throughput of 4,000 TPS, significantly surpassing Ethereum’s 30 TPS

  • 25M daily txs, vs. ETH’s 1M

  • Solana price has been up 320% over the last year, vs. ETH which has been up 61%, or BTC at 117%

Parallelization of Transactions

Solana scales through parallelization of transactions, whereas traditional blockchain structures go through them one by one. Solana's key differentiator is its innovative proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism. This hybrid approach contributes to Solana's ability to achieve high throughput.

Unique Features and Ecosystem Growth


  • Solana's ecosystem has experienced rapid growth, with various Dapps, DeFi projects, and NFT platforms choosing Solana for its speed and low transaction costs

  • FTX shadow is now a thing of the past, with a strong rally this year

  • Solana is being used by the Visa network to settle stablecoin transactions, and by Shopify for online payments

  • The firedancer update will increase the data output by 10x, making it by far the most fast and capable chain


  • Solana faced a notable outage in 2021, raising concerns about the network's robustness and reliability. But it hasn’t experienced much ever since


The Van Eck analysis estimates a $3211 price per token by 2030, this is given that Solana is able to grab 30% of blockchain activity, and keep executing on it’s plans and upgrades.
Solana has made significant strides in addressing scalability challenges and has gained recognition for its impressive throughput and low transaction costs. The rapid growth of its ecosystem demonstrates strong developer interest. Regardless if you believe it will go to 3k, the current comps make it an attractive and bullish token.

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