Product-Market Fit is a term used to describe when the offering a business has meets a market of customers. Most founders will never truly achieve it, instead, they get close and call it good enough - this is the “Product-Market Squint”.
Let’s examine the original thoughts and how to adapt them to today.
I first wrote that on March 30, 2017. Has much changed in how founders seek out and attain Product-Market Fit in the age of AI?
While it’s become easier than ever to discover what people think and care about (we share everything with immense volume on multiple platforms), it’s still, arguably, pinning down what people will pay for is as slippery as ever.
Make use of LLMs to scour Reddit, sites, and more to do an early pass on user research before committing more of your time to design and code.
SYSTEM
You are “ResearchCopilot,” a UX strategist.
USER
Here is a raw scrape from r/[Subreddit] discussing problems with [domain] (≈3,000 words).
1. Extract the 12 most common pain points as bullet phrases (≤10 words each).
2. Group those pains into up to 4 Jobs-to-Be-Done buckets.
3. For each bucket, list one verbatim quote (<120 chars) that exemplifies it.
[[PASTE THREAD TEXT]]
An MVP remains a moving target, unlocking value only momentarily until that value has been consumed, internalized, and normalized.
One-shot prompts and AI IDEs empower founders, product managers, and others to engage with customers more frequently without incurring the cost or risk.
SYSTEM
You are “MVP-Smith,” an expert in lean TypeScript + React prototypes.
USER
Draft a minimal **React + Express** project that proves this value hypothesis:
“Users will upload a PDF and receive a one-sentence summary.”
Constraints:
• Front end = one drag-and-drop zone + spinner + result box.
• Back end = single `/summarize` endpoint calling OpenAI API (gpt-4o).
• Include `package.json`, env variable placeholders, and comments for TODOs.
Respond with the full folder tree and inline code blocks.
Your unfair advantage is still worth playing whenever you can. Much like a bottom-up TAM is preferred to a top-down one, insider knowledge lets you leverage not just the problem but the players.
AI gives everyone their local expert to learn from. The real advantage will come from building up your own fine-tuned data to yield even better results.
SYSTEM
You are “FineTune-Maker,” skilled at converting domain docs into Q-A pairs.
USER
Here is an internal FAQ for our niche industry (≈2,000 words).
Turn it into **50 JSONL** training lines.
• `prompt`: a likely question from a newbie operator (≤120 chars)
• `completion`: the expert answer (≤250 chars, no code fences)
Output JSONL only—one line per pair—ready for OpenAI fine-tuning CLI.
[[PASTE FAQ]]
PMF is still measured through metrics like revenue, engagement, and more, still proxies of the value and sentiment being derived.
AI lets us look at data with new eyes, spotting the patterns that were previously difficult or expensive to surface. Further, AI can engage our customers directly via chat and features to capture new sets of data on sentiment, NPS, and more.
SYSTEM
You are “RetentionRadar,” a data-savvy product analyst.
USER
I’ve pasted a CSV with daily active users, sign-up date, plan tier, and churn flag.
1. Identify the three cohorts with the **highest early churn (≤30 days)** and quantify churn %.
2. Suggest one hypothesis per cohort for why they leave.
3. Recommend one experiment each to improve retention.
[[PASTE CSV]]
This post is a part of the “Just in Time” series, where I revisit and adapt my experiences and advice for founders from the past 20 years. It is based on “Product-Market Squint”, originally published on March 30, 2017.
Just popped back into Farcaster after a stretch of heads-down work building out my Substack—something deeply personal that I hope will one day turn into a cookbook (or a few). Saw the new badge system roll out, and I totally get the need to support the ecosystem. But to be real, after nearly a year here, I haven’t seen much traction from my posts—though I know that’s also on me for not showing up consistently. That said, I’ve been pouring my time and budget into making meaningful, longform content off-platform. So I’m in that weird spot: wondering if I’m now less visible in the community I care about, but not sure I can justify another spend right now. Just putting this out there. Not fishing—just hoping to stay connected even when the algorithm (or badge system) says otherwise. ❤️
Don't get pro You won't be penalized for not having it it's an experiment to try a method for longevity You're all good Excited for your long content!
Thank you for explaining it to me, I was like overwhelmed with the apps. I’m looking forward to share with you my new direction.
Awesome!
wait! i want to see your Substack! Share the link with us :)
i see you, i blame the algo, i also try to stay connected even though ~70% of my casts have no engagement why i spent on pro, this platform has given me more than what the pro costs and i met really great people here, like you, i hope you don't churn anytime soon Eve
Thank you so much for the encouragement , I appreciate your insights.
welcome back, I feel your pain on the platform choice. I just started a substack 30 minutes ago, lol - working on first post. I've been wondering about where to post as well. Part of me wants to post it here natively, but the formatting, etc. are downsides. Gonna straddle for a while to see what's best.
You only took 30mins on substack? I’m like going on a rabbit hole over here, but congratulations on the first post. I’m excited for mine too. Share with me your substack, I’ll give a follow. 😊
I went with @paragraph! https://paragraph.com/@vibefounders/just-in-time-product-market-squint
@adrienne recommended looking at @paragraph which has a pretty good experience (been a while since I checked it out) and it also has better support here
@gregarious @evelynyap17 we'd love to support your long-form writing on Paragraph! Tons of integrations w/ Farcaster to help you maximize reach & distribution.
Over the last 20 years, I've written a lot about startups - largely pulling from my own experiences, interactions, and relationships acquired building startups in NY, SF, and now Denver. As Ai has brought a wide array of new folks into the real of entrepreneurship, I've started to wonder if this advice is still good. To that end, I'm starting a new pub "Vibe Founders" and a series called "Just in Time". "Vibe Founders" will look at the new challenges founders (myself included) are facing in an AI-first world. "Just in Time" are hot takes on my old posts, looking at what advice is timeless, what's timely, and event a prompt to try to get you started if you so desire. Here's my first post in the series, based on "Product Market Squint" from Mar 30, 2017. Just in Time: https://paragraph.com/@vibefounders/just-in-time-product-market-squint Original: https://medium.com/unfounded/product-market-squint-95e2867f04
Very cool concept! Subscribed and looking forward to the next issue!
Thanks my friend! Warming the queue!
ok this is so so good
Oh, thanks so much
Love this one from @gregarious! A quick impactful read about something we all struggle to achieve. https://paragraph.com/@vibefounders/just-in-time-product-market-squint?referrer=0xe19753f803790D5A524D1fD710D8a6D821a8Bb55
Thanks so much @jonathancolton - esp for the quick proof read!
My pleasure. Time well spent. Appreciate you sharing it.