Thanks for the context and discussion Brad, our conversation inspired some of these takeaways.
By definition, DePIN is any coordination network that creates a buyer and seller market for some type of data. By that argument, a Layer 1 blockchain like Ethereum can be framed the same way, where sellers provide digital assets and on-chain services to buyers, who utilize this infrastructure and ETH to pay for these transactions. In this vein, the reason Ethereum has been incredibly successful is because it provides a 10x upgrade to existing methods of transacting and storing state: it does so in a transparent, programmable, and trustless way.
What most DePIN projects fail to identify is that to obtain a majority of an existing market, their offering has to be 10x better than the competition. They can’t rely on a marginally-better set of data that is collected in a permissionless, decentralized, and transparent manner because, frankly, buyers do not care as long as the data is somewhat reliable. And in most existing data markets, it is. The question DePIN projects need to ask is how to increase the quality, reliability, frequency, diversity, etc. of the data they are collecting and selling, which can absolutely be achieved through a blockchain backend.
Another approach is to utilize DePIN to empower individual data providers that are otherwise censored or unable to contribute data to a global network. This questions the relationship between individual <> state. With data that is more sensitive, is actively censored, or is not actively monitored by the state, is it possible that individual citizens could override some state restrictions or shortcomings to provide visibility into this data with Internet-connected devices? This intersection could be an exciting area of opportunity for DePIN projects where independent coordination networks could provide a more accurate and holistic view while providing a resolution to state <> individual tensions.
It has become increasingly obvious that principles of privacy, transparency, and decentralization tacked on to a marginally better product is not enough. While most DePIN networks fall victim to this quality, there exist exciting areas of innovation where DePIN projects can provide strictly better data than their centralized counterparts or shed light to new data sources that are otherwise restricted or unavailable by empowering individual citizens.
We had a very interesting team research meeting last week centered on intellectualizing memecoins. We could very well be overthinking this framework, and in reality, memecoins exist as a 24/7 global casino, but it's an interesting exercise nevertheless.
We were debating the extent to which memecoins actually represent something - a cultural artifact, a real-time event, a digital meme, etc. While some of us concluded that memecoins serve as a way for people to hold stake in an artifact they align themselves with, Joel brought up an interesting analogy that I agree with - memecoins are the first successful crypto-native on-chain video game.
The core components of any game are goals, rules, challenges, and interactivity. Memecoins can then act as a 24/7 global game played on a multitude of platforms (exchanges and wallets) with these same principles. The goal for any player is to maximize their portfolio balance, and the value of their portfolio provides real-time updates of their performance. The rules of the game are simple: maximize your portfolio by trading a variety of available assets at profitable positions. Traders can develop interesting chart-reading strategies by combining off-chain social and on-chain price movement indicators. The challenges are the volatility of an asset’s performance and the timing of a profitable trade. As for interactivity, the blend of social influence and momentum-driven investing is arguably the most interactive way to engage with such a game.
The reason I agree with this framework more so than the counter is because I loosely believe that memecoins don’t represent something inherently valuable. The conversion rate of people that believe or align themselves with something to those that place financial stake in that thing seems very low. Most memecoins are manifestations of digital memes or real-world events, and a certain set of people may care deeply about these artifacts. However, I believe a majority don’t care enough to place financial value in a representative and volatile token simply to align themselves with that artifact.
While it will remain an interesting space to track and certainly one that isn’t going away, I think it's important not to overvalue a phenomenon that may just be an entertaining, speculative, and successful game that happens to be crypto-native.
Thanks for brunch Lincoln, our conversation inspired some of these research questions.
There are a variety of options that builders have when launching an application. Each of these exist on a cross-sectional spectrum of Ecosystem Alignment & Composability, and Value Capture & Performance. While the debate around which set of solutions will win out is nuanced, a more logical conclusion is that there will exist an increasingly competitive nature for the infrastructure available to builders.
Before the dominant rise of Solana as a chain-maximalist ecosystem (especially after performance increases with Frakendancer/Firedancer implementations), we noticed an industry-shift from chain maximalism around Ethereum mainnet to a more modular environment. This is a natural economic progression since specialization lends itself to efficiency per layer and increased flexibility for builders. Now, we have options at both ends of the spectrum - modularity with Ethereum and a monolithic approach with Solana.
However, we’re seeing a reversion now, where folks are either working to further modularize and become application-focused, or push for a future that is more intertwined with Ethereum. I think it's a fair conclusion that this is inevitable with any monolithic chain, so long as the market demands a certain level of decentralization at the base layer.
On one end, we have self-sequenced applications (or ASS s/o Tarun), which prioritize feeding extracted value back to the application. This creates a strong competitive environment for startup applications as they compete on the quality of order flow and how much returned value they redistribute to their users. An issue I see here though is a chicken-and-egg problem: new applications need strong activity and order flow to compete, but can’t garner a strong user base without some of these redistributed incentives. A default solution is token incentives and/or points, but this is unsustainable given how difficult customer lock-in is for protocols (s/o Maanav). It may be interesting to explore other sustainable vectors of overcoming this cold-start problem.
On the other hand, we have based rollups, which are an optimistic outlook for utilizing Ethereum to sequence transactions, and as ancillary benefits, rollups gain atomic cross-rollup composability. While this is a great solution for direct value accrual to Ethereum, based rollups lose out extracted value to the base layer transaction supply chain actors. This can be analogized as a “tax” that builders have to pay to Ethereum. With modular solutions on the rise, forcing builders to pay an additional “tax” to the Ethereum base layer to effectively be Ethereum aligned seems like an uncompetitive feature. I welcome some counterarguments here.
Lastly, we have our traditional appchains and rollups, which will continue to serve applications that have enough of a network effect and initial funds to support launching their own ecosystem. I think these will continue to dominate the landscape as builders with enough leverage demand customizability, flexibility, and expressibility.
The implementation of these solutions not only raises interesting questions about which will win out and what competitive landscape will exist, but also how these solutions impact the value accrual to certain assets? How does $ETH get impacted in the face of modular architecture? What about the interoperability of app-based tokens? These are all interesting questions to think about going forward, and I welcome any and all debate, comments, and thoughts about it.
The views and opinions expressed on this article are solely those of the original author and mentioned contributors. These views and opinions do not necessarily represent those of Placeholder Management LLC or its team.
I stumbled upon an interesting discussion over brunch and later on with the Placeholder team about stablecoins and what major American political parties think about them.
Until centralized stablecoin issuers continue to dominate the stablecoin markets, why are they not being more aggressively welcomed by regulators? Major centralized stablecoin issuers (Tether and Circle) hold a decently large share of U.S. treasuries as collateral for their stablecoin issuing services. Demand for USD-denominated stablecoins are only increasing, so demand for U.S. treasuries by these issuers will also increase, thereby strengthening government economic security.
As stablecoins increasingly capture mindshare, it makes logical sense for regulators to step in and establish frameworks that support this cyclical value capture. Some of the cautious approaches entail capping how many dollars worth of stablecoins can be issued and who can issue them. This seems contradictory to the value stablecoins provide for the U.S Dollar, and its in U.S. government's interest to support them openly, while embodying some of the following values:
1:1 collateral backing with verifiable proof of reserves
Limit or prohibit rehypothecation of reserve assets
Compatibility with existing banking and issuance regulations
It seems that the value accrual of stablecoins are cyclical, and in direct benefit of the U.S. government. Stablecoins have found PMF and will be a major onboarding tool for global users onto crypto-native financial applications. If achieved at scale, not only does this proliferation eat away at foreign economy’s financial sovereignty, but it also strengthens the U.S. Dollar. This implies that stablecoin proliferation introduces awkward global economic ramifications and strengthens the centralized U.S. monetary system in an international economic context.
Isn’t the entire ethos of blockchain-enabled financial applications to rid individuals of centralized financial systems in favor of decentralized rails? How, then, can we not only promote global stablecoin proliferation, but tout it as one of the only valid use cases of the technology?
Regardless, it's surprising that both campaigns haven’t actively embraced stablecoins, especially considering its ability to serve as a vehicle to promote U.S. Dollar dominance within global markets.
The views and opinions expressed on this article are solely those of the original author and mentioned contributors. These views and opinions do not necessarily represent those of Placeholder Management LLC or its team.